Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 58.001227 67.816482 78.485946 90.907383 104.931216 120.233378 138.151933
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 43.721184 57.036449 72.818014 92.733398 117.011281 145.454038 181.088201
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 32.028105 45.783065 63.284495 86.835986 117.306347 154.973717 204.578554
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 27.050832 41.651557 61.315277 89.141243 126.819958 175.315419 241.575267
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 22.378416 36.960019 57.665079 88.341583 131.612810 189.325006 270.746559
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 20.486806 35.863118 58.665013 93.722745 144.805050 214.862554 316.186198
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 16.423339 30.760563 53.107977 88.935151 143.059684 219.602438 333.338432
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 14.832867 29.343409 52.880759 91.879935 152.474155 240.209662 373.284920
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 14.066418 29.178981 54.546798 97.770448 166.529124 268.055474 424.682098
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.802630 27.929526 54.252902 100.427472 175.682854 289.045460 466.963474
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 11.516401 26.432730 53.340631 101.913758 182.974943 307.469797 506.115358
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.115932 24.490465 51.409332 101.454777 187.007403 320.989033 538.338522
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.872429 22.821399 50.064202 102.392960 194.241134 341.165072 583.804578
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.829308 21.414171 49.086692 103.984334 202.858879 364.304365 635.543028
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.112428 18.129924 43.988162 97.451972 196.937080 363.611139 649.670914
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.507588 17.319271 43.744393 99.986140 207.030579 389.559782 707.412487
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.707401 15.836933 41.867360 99.105488 210.821551 405.064750 748.750764
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.507566 15.890124 43.334273 105.026731 227.483522 443.179978 828.870929
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.596740 13.752992 39.552925 99.758862 222.694558 443.961473 846.584440
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.314426 13.372799 39.808488 102.999561 234.375919 474.082506 915.069216
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.227288 13.576408 41.498158 109.477220 252.749602 516.862265 1006.764829
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.965082 13.157103 41.581972 112.397098 264.205816 547.643209 1078.762673
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.671633 12.557425 41.120508 114.029903 273.136412 574.167506 1144.232051